Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
RegelgevingOne-OffTechAIBusiness & Corporate3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 95.5%
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9
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd1 sep 26, 15:02 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Sir Demis Hassabis remains officially employed by or holds an active formal role (such as Chairman, Chief Scientist, CEO, Board Member, or Senior Advisor) at Alphabet Inc., Google, Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs, or any other Alphabet subsidiary as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, if his formal employment or official affiliation has ended or his departure has taken effect on or before this date, the market will resolve to NO.
- Key details and edge cases:
- An announcement of an impending departure where his final day is scheduled to take place after December 31, 2026, will resolve to YES.
- If his departure has been officially announced and takes effect on or before December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 182,3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria