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Nee 83.8%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd12 mrt 23, 03:14 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
Manifold MarketsChamath prediction: Will David Sacks run for governor of California by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketWill Midjourney be found liable for copyright infringement in the Disney/Comcast lawsuit in 2026?
FutuurTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegels
Anything highly credible, such as findings of fraud with SBF.
- Doesn't need to be legally charged, but that's a bonus.
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,6K
- 24u volume
- € 12,4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 498,6K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 84% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will David Sacks be found to have committed a felony before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Anything highly credible, such as findings of fraud with SBF.