Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 99%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd24 sep 24, 20:38 UTC2 okt 26, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
Manifold MarketsWill Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028?
Manifold MarketsCaroline Ellison next job
Manifold MarketsWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.
- House arrest, electronic confinement at a private home, would not.
- Let me know if you want me to outline edge cases before you trade.
- I might trade in this market, will probably be low-stakes.
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,5K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 497,4K
- 24u volume
- € 12,5K
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 676K
- 24u volume
- € 8,2K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,6K
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Totaal volume
- € 577,2K
- 24u volume
- € 3,7K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? afgewikkeld?
- Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? wordt naar verwachting op 2 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Any sort of prison facility counts, including detention centers and psychiatric facilities.