Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 62.8%
Voorspellers
1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd13 sep 26, 12:47 UTC31 dec 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?
KalshiWill Canada and the EU agree to expanded mobility rights?
KalshiWill anywhere in the US, UK, Canada, or EU mandate car kill switches that can be used by law enforcement before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill an economic union be formed between the CANZUK nations before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Canada–EU annual two-way merchandise trade exceeds C$270 billion in nominal Canadian dollars before January 1st 2040. “Two-way merchandise trade” means the sum of Canadian merchandise exports to the European Union and Canadian merchandise imports from the European Union over a calendar year.
- The EU should be treated using the EU-27 / ex-UK definition in force as of market creation, so later EU accessions or withdrawals do not mechanically change the geographic scope of the market.
- Resolution should primarily use Statistics Canada data, with official EU/Eurostat data or other authoritative government sources usable as corroborating evidence.
- Minor subsequent statistical revisions do not affect resolution once the criterion has clearly been met.
- If no calendar year ending before January 1st 2040 records more than C$270 billion in qualifying trade, the market resolves NO..
