Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.6%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd22 mrt 25, 22:49 UTC31 dec 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Canada become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
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PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Canada has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Canada joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.