Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?
One-OffGezondheid en geneeskundeWetenschap4j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 13:56 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 53.8%
Ja 53.8%Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd13 jan 25, 04:57 UTC1 jan 31, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Bryan Johnson die?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson die of natural causes?
Manifold MarketsWhen will @Bryan_Johnson Die?
Manifold MarketsSmoking less deadly: will the life expectancy penalty for smokers decrease by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Background Bryan Johnson, a 47-year-old tech entrepreneur, has gained attention for his extreme anti-aging regimen called Blueprint.
- He reportedly spends $2 million annually on various treatments and interventions aimed at extending his lifespan, including a strict diet, exercise routine, and numerous supplements.
- Johnson claims his biological measurements show signs of age reversal, though these claims are disputed by some medical professionals.
- The current U.S. life expectancy is approximately 76.4 years, though this figure will likely change by the time of Johnson's death.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:
- Bryan Johnson dies at an age that is at least 10 years greater than the life expectancy reported by the CDC or WHO (whichever is higher) for the year of his death for the USA.
