Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
GeopolitiekOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 55.3%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd31 jul 26, 10:44 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 Moscow Time, a ballistic missile launched from Ukraine hits any target within territory currently controlled by Russia, at the distance greater than 500km from territory currently controlled by Ukraine.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Definitions and Rules:
- Ballistic Missile: The weapon must be classified as a ballistic missile (such as Fire Point's FP-9, or any Sapsan/Hrim-2 variant confirmed to have a range exceeding 500 km).
- Cruise missiles (e.g., Neptunes, Flamingos), rocket-drones (e.g., Palianytsia), and standard kamikaze drones do not qualify.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 55% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria