Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 73.3%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
17 jun 26, 08:16 UTC10 sep 26, 12:25 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that the PPI for final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.
- Use the headline Final Demand row in the BLS Producer Price Indexes news release, seasonally adjusted one-month percent change from July 2026 to August 2026.
- Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted month-over-month change is 0.2% or lower.
- Do not use CPI, PCE, import/export prices, year-over-year PPI, core PPI, final demand less foods/energy/trade services, not-seasonally-adjusted change, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial August 2026 release before resolution.
- If the August 2026 PPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the August 2026 figure unless there is no BLS August 2026 PPI release by September 17, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"final_demand_less_food_energy_trade_sa_mom_may_2026": 0.8, "final_demand_sa_mom_april_2026": 1.1, "final_demand_sa_mom_march_2026": 0.7, "final_demand_sa_mom_may_2026": 1.1, "final_demand_yoy_may_2026": 6.5, "note": "June and July 2026 PPI releases were still future releases at this market's creation time.", "release": "Producer Price Indexes - May 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted one-month percent change in final demand PPI from July 2026 to August 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May, June, and July 2026 PPI final-demand markets are prior-reference-month markets, not August 2026 duplicates.", "CPI, PCE, AHE, import/export price, and calendar-year inflation markets use different releases or series.", "Core PPI or final-demand-less-food-energy-trade-services questions are not duplicates of headline final demand."], "release_schedule": "BLS PPI schedule lists Producer Price Index for August 2026 on 2026-09-10 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026", "series_family": "PPI final demand, seasonally adjusted", "threshold": "+0.3% month-over-month or higher"}.
- Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS PPI release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/ppi.htm - BLS 2026 selected release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/current_year.asp - BLS current PPI release page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.htm - BLS PPI home: https://www.bls.gov/ppi/
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 77,9K
- 24u volume
- € 5,5K
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 73% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? afgewikkeld?
- Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? wordt naar verwachting op 10 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will August 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for August 2026 reports that the PPI for final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis.