Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 52%
Voorspellers
216
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd26 mrt 23, 00:41 UTC1 jan 50, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?
Manifold MarketsWill someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
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FutuurWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiRegels
Time spent uploaded counts, but only real time, not simulated time.
- If reanimated from cryonic storage, only the time they spent "alive" counts.
Open markten
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 35,6K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Totaal volume
- € 83,5K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 864,2K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 915,8K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,2K
- 24u volume
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 52% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? afgewikkeld?
- Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2150 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Time spent uploaded counts, but only real time, not simulated time.