Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?
GeopolitiekOne-Off3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.4%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd13 jan 23, 00:53 UTC2 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the following western countries go to war with each other before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIran coup attempt by which date?
PolymarketRussia coup attempt in 2026?
PolymarketChina coup attempt before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.
- List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:
- Czech Republic
- United Kingdom
- United States
- Successful means the attackers must stay in government for more than six months.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.