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  3. Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

RegelgevingAITechPolitiekGeopolitiek3j
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization" 78.6%
Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

12

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden

Verouderd
9 dec 24, 19:391 jan 30, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"79%

Regels

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.

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Regels

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.