Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 56%
Voorspellers
3
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
9 sep 26, 18:37 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegels
[tweet]I'm honestly shocked that this tweet has almost 600k likes at the time I'm making this market.
- I looked at the quote tweets and people seem to broadly understand that it relates to x-risk, not conflating it with more prosaic AI concerns.
- Resolves YES if there's a tweet that clearly relates to AI Safety with >1 million likes by the end of the year.
- Could be this one.
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 102,1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,4K
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will an AI Safety tweet get >1 million likes by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 56% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will an AI Safety tweet get >1 million likes by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will an AI Safety tweet get >1 million likes by the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will an AI Safety tweet get >1 million likes by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: [tweet]I'm honestly shocked that this tweet has almost 600k likes at the time I'm making this market.