Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 74.3%
Voorspellers
251
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 21 uur geleden
Verouderd17 feb 26, 04:15 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Amanda Askell have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?
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PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegels
This market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027, Amanda Askell is employed at Anthropic, and holds a position of comparable influence to her current role writing Claude's constitution.
- If Askell has left Anthropic or been significantly demoted / sideways-promoted, the market resolves NO.
- If her role has evolved but maintains equivalent strategic influence over Claude's development and values, it resolves YES.
- (Description edited from AI generation.)