Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 98.6%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
24 jan 26, 21:32 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
I just learned that she doesn't.
- I thought that was crazy.
- To resolve YES, the Wikipedia page must exist for at least 95% of the month of December.
- (I want this market to be robust to Wikipedia vandalism.)
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.