Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 21:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.5%
Voorspellers
1,130
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd5 mei 23, 11:03 UTC2 jan 30, 01:16 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe humanity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
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PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegels
If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO.
- If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES.
- If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve.
- @/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d1e8126d974
- @/JamesBills/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6e8e547afa66
- @/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th
