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Verouderd1 jul 23, 13:47 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
Manifold Marketswill a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
When integrated with tools such as formal proof verifiers, internet search, and symbolic math packages, I expect, say, 2026-level AI, when used properly, will be a trustworthy co-author in mathematical research, and in many other fields as well.
- this one is for 2028
- Resolves YES if a real professional mathematician claims this happened for them, unless consensus of other experts is that it didn't happen
- https://unlocked.microsoft.com/ai-anthology/terence-tao/
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 514,9K
- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: When integrated with tools such as formal proof verifiers, internet search, and symbolic math packages, I expect, say, 2026-level AI, when used properly, will be a trustworthy co-author in mathematical research, and in many other fields as well.