Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 75.9%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd9 apr 26, 20:48 UTC31 mrt 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsClaude Opus 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the METR time horizon doubling time in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the METR 50% Time Horizon be "ambiguous" at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.
- It will resolve N/A if METR announces the end of time horizons or stops doing them.
- n/a if they don’t release a task that long
