Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
GeopolitiekOne-OffMidden-OostenRusland / Oekraïne1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 05:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.4%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd3 nov 23, 19:40 UTC2 jan 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US-Russia proxy conflict expand beyond Ukraine and the Middle East by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
Manifold MarketsTerritory of Essequibo confirmed as part of Guyana by the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?
FutuurNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurRegels
Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.
- Any country could be the progenitor as long as it's clearly mostly about the Israel-Hamas conflict or whatever larger conflict grows out of that.
- (e.g. Russia launching a missile at Ukraine does not count, but Russia launching a missile at Israel does count.)
