Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 09:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd2 nov 23, 22:25 UTC15 jan 31, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves as YES if any nuclear weapon with a yield of at least 0.05 kilotons of TNT is detonated between January 1st 2030 and December 31st 2030.
- Includes offensive use, tests and accidental detonations.
- Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Plumbbob_Boltzmann_001.jpg