Will 10% of Boston city die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
Gezondheid en geneeskundeOne-Off8jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 98%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd3 jun 23, 15:18 UTC1 feb 35, 04:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Some examples of disasters:
- -Nuclear strike
- -Infrastructure collapse, such as from a solar flare
- If a disaster affects Boston, Massachusetts, we'll refer to the total deaths attributed during the calendar year.
- We then calculate that as a percent of the prior population.
- If it's 10% or more, we resolve Yes.
