Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Demographics 29.7%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
50
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd19 sep 23, 02:44 UTC26 sep 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben & Jerry's Chocolate Chip Cookie Dough ice cream still be produced by 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
KalshiWill my type 1 diabetes be cured before 2030
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KalshiWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiRegels
See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.
- Choi 2005 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/article-abstract/1152788
- Korat 2018 http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:37925665
- Nutr 2019 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6821541/
- Resolves to my best guess five years after creating the market.
- If there are multiple causes, will resolve to my subjective weighting of factors.
Open markten
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11,6K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 921K
- 24u volume
- € 4,7K
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1,4K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 869,1K
- 24u volume
- € 1,3K
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Totaal volume
- € 612,8K
- 24u volume
- € 1,1K
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
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- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk??
- Manifold Markets prijst Demographics op 30% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? afgewikkeld?
- Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? wordt naar verwachting op 26 september 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Why is ice cream consumption correlated with reduced diabetes risk? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: See Nutrition Science's Most Preposterous Result, from The Atlantic, May 2023.