Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDemocrats 60.3%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
40
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd12 jun 25, 12:47 UTC6 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Ook beschikbaar op PredictIt — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democratic 58%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 14,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 831,2K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 187,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 495,4K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 864,2K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Democrats op 60% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? afgewikkeld?
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? wordt naar verwachting op 6 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria
- Waar wordt Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, PredictIt, Kalshi.