Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDemocrats 61.7%-2.2ptKoploper van 14 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
41
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-2.9 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 26 minuten geleden
12 jun 25, 12:47 UTC6 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWinner of the next US Presidential Election
FutuurRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 63%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
