PredictItBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistNiet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRetail prediction exchange
Huidige impliciete kans
Democratic 58%
Methodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Vraagtype
-
24u volume
€ 33,8
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItRegels
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor Democratic is 67%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 9 procentpunten uiteen. De platforms zijn het er niet over eens welke uitkomst voorligt.
CoinRithm-referentie Democratic 67% · 2 platforms · 9 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 14,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 831,2K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 187,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 495,4K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 864,2K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 extra uitkomsten
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- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election??
- PredictIt prijst Democratic op 58% per 14 september 2026.
- Hoe wordt Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? afgewikkeld?
- PredictIt wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate receives a majority of the votes of the appointed presidential electors when the Electoral College votes are cast in the 2028 United States presidential election.<br /><br />Should the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. In the event that no person receives such a majority, or that no such election or vote is held, all contracts shall resolve to No. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Waar wordt Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Kalshi.