KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Democratic party 58.4%+1.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 21
Liquiditeit
€ 227,6K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 25 minuten geleden
6 nov 24, 15:007 nov 29, 15:00
Trends
Regels
If a representative of the the named outcome is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Office of the Presidency
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
3 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor Democratic is 60%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 10 procentpunten uiteen. De platforms zijn het er niet over eens welke uitkomst voorligt.
CoinRithm-referentie Democratic 60% · 3 platforms · 10 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 50%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 58%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 63%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 59%
- Ook beschikbaar op PredictIt — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democratic 56%
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 180,4 mln.
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)?
- Kalshi prijst Democratic party op 58% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) afgewikkeld?
- 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) wordt naar verwachting op 7 november 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a representative of the the named outcome is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op ForecastEx, Limitless, Robinhood (Rothera), Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt.