Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 02:28 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Democrats 62.6%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
68
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd27 jan 25, 17:21 UTC8 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRegels
Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario.
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other.
- Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.
