Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMiguel Díaz-Canel 72.6%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
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5
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd25 jul 26, 02:26 UTC1 jan 27, 00:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
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PolymarketCommunist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
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PolymarketRegels
The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.
- Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba the named outcome.
- If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus.
- I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.