Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingChuck Grassley 74%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
40
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd26 aug 24, 15:23 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
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Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegels
Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.
- Each answer will Resolve YES if the person died in an eligible position of power, and NO if they aren’t in office at the time of their death.
- Eligible seats of power:
- US Congress-person (not state congress)
- State Governor
- President, VP, or Cabinet Member (see full list)
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt61%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt38%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 133,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 712,4K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.7pt91%
- Republican Party-0.4pt9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 687,1K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 194,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 625,7K
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt54%
- Nithya Raman+9.0pt46%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 504K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt28.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.5pt8.2%
+1 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.7pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.9pt13%
+48 extra uitkomsten
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Manifold Markets prijst Chuck Grassley op 74% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 afgewikkeld?
- Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.