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Ja 78.6%
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78
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd21 feb 24, 13:15 UTC25 jan 30, 05:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Putin die before Trump?
Manifold MarketsWhich US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀
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PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegels
Resolves yes if Putin is president of Russia when he dies.
- I'll extend the close date if Putin has yet to die.
Open markten
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 710,8K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
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- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 407,5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,9 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
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- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Putin die in office??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 79% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Putin die in office? afgewikkeld?
- Will Putin die in office? wordt naar verwachting op 25 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Putin die in office? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves yes if Putin is president of Russia when he dies.