Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
PolitiekOne-OffUS Politics3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90.5%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd21 jul 26, 02:22 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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FutuurRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any sitting justice of the Supreme Court of the United States dies or officially vacates their seat (via retirement or resignation) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET).
- The market will resolve to NO if all nine current sitting justices remain in active office through the end of 2026.
- Key Definitions and Rules:
- Sitting Justices: The current nine justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett, and Ketanji Brown Jackson.
- Resignation / Retirement: A justice must formally vacate their seat on or before the deadline.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 91% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria