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No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032 51.3%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd7 jan 26, 05:45 UTC7 jan 27, 05:41 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves based on which sector first demonstrates wide, real-world adoption of quantum computing for production (non-experimental) workloads.
- Resolution Criteria:
- • The market resolves YES for the first sector that meets the criteria above.
- • If no sector clearly meets the criteria by 31 December 2032, resolve to: “No sector shows ‘wide adoption’ by 31 Dec 2032.”
- • If multiple sectors advance, the earliest clear adoption wins.
- Academic-only usage or single-company pilots do not qualify as wide adoption.
