Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
TechWetenschap3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingIBM 26.5%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
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6
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
0.0 pts
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Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 25, 08:58 UTC1 jan 30, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRegels
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
