Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67.2%
Voorspellers
62
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd17 jan 24, 06:27 UTC1 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI will commonly be used to code simple apps by the end of the following years:
Manifold MarketsWill Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegels
Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030.
- The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.
