Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 23 okt 2026, 21:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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Labour 53%+8.8ptKoploper van 10 uitkomsten
Labour 53%+8.8ptVoorspellers
28
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-3.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 57 minuten geleden
Vertraagd22 aug 24, 00:03 UTC2 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsFollowing the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
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KalshiWill the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiRegels
Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government.
- Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question.
- So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour.
- In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, the named outcome, and ACT.
- I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding.
- Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
