Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
9.4 ptn (24u)ChainlinkOne-OffSchakenVerkiezingSportPolitiek2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingLabour 52%+9.4pt
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-3.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd6 mrt 26, 06:39 UTC24 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on 7 November 2026.
- The market resolves to whichever main party (National or Labour) forms the government following the election.
- A party must demonstrate to the Governor-General that they have the confidence of the House by securing a majority of votes in a confidence motion and getting a budget through parliament.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General and the New Zealand government regarding which party leader is appointed Prime Minister.
- See: https://www.beehive.govt.nz/ and https://gg.govt.nz/