Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolitiekOne-OffSchakenAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingSport4mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
National · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
National 54%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
National 54%Marktkwaliteit
16 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Open interest
US$ 479,9
Lage open interestBied / Laat
— / —
NationalSpread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 56 minuten geleden
Vertraagd10 sep 26, 02:00 UTC15 mrt 27, 14:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · National
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Gerelateerde Markten
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test. A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description. These individual-party descriptions do not specify such an arrangement, so confidence and supply without a qualifying ministerial position does not count. If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.
Regels per uitkomst
- National
- If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Labour
- If a coalition that includes Labour makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If a coalition that includes Greens makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Zealand First
- If a coalition that includes New Zealand First makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ACT
- If a coalition that includes ACT makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Te Pāti Māori
- If a coalition that includes Te Pāti Māori makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Opportunity
- If a coalition that includes Opportunity makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
