Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
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Gegevens van 10 sep 2026, 19:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
National 0%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
31 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
10 sep 26, 02:00 UTC15 mrt 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test.
- A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Kalshi prijst National op 0% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? afgewikkeld?
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? wordt naar verwachting op 15 maart 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.