What combination of parties will form executive government after the next Australian federal election?
Politiek1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingLabor 54.1%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd23 mei 26, 02:19 UTC23 mei 28, 02:13 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the party or coalition of parties that forms executive government following the next general election for the Australian House of Representatives.
- For the purpose of this market, a party is in executive government if at least one of its members holds a ministerial portfolio in the first ministry list published after the election.
- Clarifications
- For the purpose of this market, an assistant minister does not hold a ministerial portfolio.
- It is likely that a combination of parties forming executive government will have a majority of seats in the House of Representatives and a coalition agreement of some kind.
