Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOther 49.6%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
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29
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd3 okt 23, 08:29 UTC1 aug 30, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any country declare war on any other, using CO2 or microplastics emission, as a causus belli by 2055
Manifold MarketsWill any country declare an AI eligible to apply for citizenship by 2044?
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
Not limited to formal declarations of war.
- Resolves yes if there's a congressional authorization of military force à la Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan.