Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
PolitiekGeopolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 93%
Voorspellers
29
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd7 mrt 26, 15:21 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCivil War in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the war with Iran affect USD reserve currency status relative to yuan?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Congress formally declares war on Iran through a joint resolution, as specified in Article One, Section Eight of the Constitution.
- Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war since World War II, instead relying on authorizations for use of military force (AUMFs).
- For this market, only a formal declaration of war legislation explicitly using the phrase "declaration of war" counts as YES.
- An AUMF or military action without a formal declaration resolves NO.
- The market resolves by December 31,
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe28.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 114,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 653,7K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 186 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 485,2K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.0pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+6.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.7pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- Irish Open+27.0pt99%
- Iran (3+ times)+47.0pt99%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+31.0pt99%
+24 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.3pt67%
- October 31+7.5pt44%
- September 30+3.5pt24%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.7pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Texas Senate winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria