Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOpenAI 73.4%+37.7ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+37.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
23 okt 25, 11:56 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 132,8K
- 24u volume
- € 100,3K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 322,4K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem??
- Manifold Markets prijst OpenAI op 73% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem? afgewikkeld?
- Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.