Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingRo Khanna 81.7%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-8.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jun 26, 07:25 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWhich of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
- YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
- Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 133,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 947,3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 194,6 mln.
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 523,8K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 30,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 493,5K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028?
- Manifold Markets prijst Ro Khanna op 81.7% per 22 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 afgewikkeld?
- Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria