Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 78.2%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
14 sep 26, 20:16 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom formally run for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before August 10, 2028.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "running for president" is defined as a candidate meeting at least one of the following criteria on or before August 10, 2028:
- Officially filing a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) for the office of President with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) for the 2028 election cycle (viewable on the official FEC website).
- Registering an official presidential exploratory committee with the FEC for the 2028 election.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 133,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 947,3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 194,6 mln.
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 523,8K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 30,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 493,5K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 78.2% per 22 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria