Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Where did COVID-19 come from?

Manifold Markets prijst Transfer at a wet market op 53.1% per 24 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Where did COVID-19 come from afgewikkeld?

Where did COVID-19 come from wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2035 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Where did COVID-19 come from afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves in the same way as @/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory

Gesimuleerd handelen

Where did COVID-19 come from

Gezondheid en geneeskundeOne-Off9j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

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Transfer at a wet market 53.1%

Koploper van 10 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

7d wijziging

0.0 pts

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden

Verouderd

17 sep 23, 16:16 UTC31 dec 35, 22:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

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Resolves in the same way as @/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory

Update 2025-21-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on "In the wild":
Refers to any location not listed in other options.
Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirmed specific scenarios that would fall under a non-zoonotic origin (which users in the thread associated with a lab origin).
These scenarios include if the pandemic virus:
Was created from scratch.

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