Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Other 86.3%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
21
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd18 feb 24, 03:55 UTC1 jan 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Was the Wagner Group’s rebellion in June 2023 a strategic ruse staged by Russian leadership?
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiAerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessRegels
We’re going by the List of rebellions in the United States on Wikipedia.
- Entries will need to remain up for 14 consecutive days for this to Resolve YES.
- Market will extend as needed.
- Previous entries include:
- Jan 6th, 2021
- CHOP in Seattle [2020]
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 512,6K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 266,5K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 170,4K
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫?
- Manifold Markets prijst Other op 86% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫 afgewikkeld?
- When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: We’re going by the List of rebellions in the United States on Wikipedia.