Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJul-Dec 2026 43.7%-7.1ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-8.6 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
25 sep 25, 22:16 UTC25 sep 26, 22:14 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Update 2025-09-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Release can be to a limited group (e.g., a closed beta), not only a public launch.
- Must be a real, new model by SSI — not a white‑labeled/rebranded external LLM.
- Requires third‑party confirmation of the model’s existence and that it is new.
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 125,4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
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- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 156,3K
- 24u volume
- € 26,1K
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- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will SSI release their first model??
- Manifold Markets prijst Jul-Dec 2026 op 44% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will SSI release their first model? afgewikkeld?
- When will SSI release their first model? wordt naar verwachting op 25 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will SSI release their first model? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Update 2025-09-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Release can be to a limited group (e.g., a closed beta), not only a public launch.