Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2028 42.5%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd19 okt 25, 06:39 UTC30 dec 31, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?
Manifold MarketsNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to join the European Union?
Manifold MarketsHow many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves on the date of Montenegro's accession to the European Union.
- If Montenegro ceases to exist, resolves at the last successor state to join the EU.
- If Montenegro hasn't jointed the EU by the end of 2031, resolves at the named outcome.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 581,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 96,8K
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Montenegro join the European Union??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2028 op 43% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Montenegro join the European Union? afgewikkeld?
- When will Montenegro join the European Union? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Montenegro join the European Union? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves on the date of Montenegro's accession to the European Union.