What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
PolitiekOne-OffGeopolitiekRusland / OekraïneEuropaVerkiezingWeer4jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingGermany goes back to 1933 era 50%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
0
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd6 okt 26, 14:46 UTC31 dec 30, 11:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market.
- If no member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is sworn in as the Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler) at any point prior to January 1, 2031, this entire market and all of its individual options will resolve to N/A. If an AfD member does become Chancellor before 2031, the individual options will resolve to YES if the specified event is enacted, officially implemented, or occurs during their tenure (or within one year of their tenure, provided it is still before January 1, 2031).
- Otherwise, they will resolve to NO.
- Because this market allows anyone to add answers (addAnswersMode: ANYONE), newly added options must be resolved under the same conditional rules.
