Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
PolitiekCommoditiesWeatherGeopolitiek3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingIngria 34%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd17 okt 25, 10:23 UTC30 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- An option resolves to YES if, for that region, all three of the following occur on or before 31 December 2039:
- A formal independence referendum is held.
- Defined as a formal vote organized in-person or online by a recognized local authority, an established exile government, or a clearly significant grassroots movement.
- The referendum must pose the explicit question of secession and full sovereignty from the Russian Federation.
- A majority of valid votes cast must be “Yes.”
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040??
- Manifold Markets prijst Ingria op 34% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria