Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 84.2%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd10 sep 26, 12:39 UTC31 dec 30, 10:40 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2031, an active member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is officially appointed as the Federal Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler/in) under the German Basic Law (Grundgesetz).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details & Edge Cases:
- The chancellor must be a registered member of the AfD at the time of taking office.
- An independent or member of another party supported by an AfD coalition does not satisfy this condition.
