What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation5mnd

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 12 jul 2026, 07:29 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.2%-0.1%

Koploper van 6 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 13 dagen geleden

Verouderd

22 mrt 26, 20:1731 dec 26, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.2%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.1%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.2%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

0.3%

$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)

0.2%

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)99%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Volumetrend

$1.5k

11 jul2d aan data12 jul

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Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

€ 9,3K

Above 3.4%: 29%

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CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

€ 3,4K

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actief in deze onderwerpen

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SolanaSOL$74.92+1.43%

BNBBNB$571.21+1.19%

DogecoinDOGE$0.073+5.23%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

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Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Regels

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation5mnd

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 12 jul 2026, 07:29 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.2%-0.1%

Koploper van 6 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 13 dagen geleden

Verouderd

22 mrt 26, 20:1731 dec 26, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.2%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.1%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.2%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

0.3%

$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)

0.2%

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)99%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Volumetrend

$1.5k

11 jul2d aan data12 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Fed Decision in July?

€ 1,6 mln.

No change: 79%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

€ 51,2K

Ja: 72%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

€ 9,3K

Above 3.4%: 29%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

€ 3,4K

Republican president, <2%: 23.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,368.05+0.59%

EthereumETH$1,881.85+1.42%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.43%

BNBBNB$571.21+1.19%

DogecoinDOGE$0.073+5.23%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Regels

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.