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Labour coalition 49.4%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-0.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd2 jan 26, 02:49 UTC16 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).
- "Other" might include a grand coalition containing both National and Labour, or a government of small parties without either major party.
- Labour/National need not be the largest party in their coalition for their respective options to resolve, and they may govern alone.
- "the named outcome" means that a new election happens without a non-caretaker government being formed.
- Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Coalition governments include:
- Minority governments
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Labour coalition op 49% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election? afgewikkeld?
- What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election? wordt naar verwachting op 16 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).